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AI in anesthesia: how KOI reduces ASA-PS classification errors by 89%

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Original Articoli AI Healthcare KOI Anesthesia Research
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Physicians agree on the ASA-PS classification only 70% of the time. An error can mean anesthesia that is too light or too aggressive. KOI, the HTX AI system for anesthesiology, reduces classification errors by 89%. Here is how it works and what the data show.

The problem: variability in ASA-PS classification
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The ASA-PS classification is the gold standard for preoperative anesthetic risk assessment. Every patient scheduled for surgery receives a score from ASA I (healthy patient) to ASA V (moribund patient), which guides the anesthesiologist’s decisions on anesthesia type, monitoring and postoperative management.

A critical system with a known flaw
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The problem has been known for decades: inter-observer variability is high. Published studies show that anesthesiologists agree on the correct classification only 70% of the time — 7 out of 10 cases.

This means the same patient, examined by two different anesthesiologists, can receive different classifications. And the ASA-PS classification is not an academic exercise: it determines the level of monitoring, anesthetic precautions and resource allocation.

What happens when the classification is wrong
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Error Consequence
Risk underestimation (e.g. ASA II instead of ASA III) Insufficient monitoring, unforeseen complications
Risk overestimation (e.g. ASA III instead of ASA II) Wasted resources, delayed procedures, patient anxiety
Variability across hospitals Unreliable clinical comparisons, distorted epidemiological data

The HTX study: 11 AI models, 20 clinical cases
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HTX conducted a systematic study to assess whether large language models (LLMs) can improve the consistency of ASA-PS classification.

Methodology
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  • 20 standardised clinical vignettes, selected from the most studied ASA-PS benchmarks in the scientific literature
  • 11 language models tested, from first-generation models to advanced reasoning models
  • Multilingual testing: each case evaluated in both English and Italian
  • Repeated trials: each model tested multiple times to verify reproducibility

Models tested
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Category Models Average accuracy
First generation GPT-4, LLaMA 2, LLaMA 3, Mistral ~77%
Second generation GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet ~85%
Advanced reasoning GPT-o3, Claude Sonnet (latest), DeepSeek R1 97.5%

Key results
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Advanced reasoning models achieve 97.5% accuracy (95% CI: 92.9%–99.1%), significantly outperforming:

  • First-generation models (~77%)
  • The human benchmark (7.7/10 = 77%)

The average error drops dramatically:

  • Physicians: 2.3 misclassifications per 10 cases
  • First-generation models: 2.3 misclassifications (similar to physicians)
  • Advanced models: 0.25 misclassifications per 10 cases

This represents an 89% reduction in error compared with manual classification.

DeepSeek R1: privacy without compromise
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A particularly relevant result: DeepSeek R1, an open-source model that can be deployed entirely on-premise, showed:

  • Accuracy on par with the best commercial models
  • Perfect reproducibility across repeated trials (same case, same result)
  • Zero dependence on cloud servers

This demonstrates that private deployment — essential in healthcare — is feasible without sacrificing accuracy.


How KOI works
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KOI is the clinical decision support system for anesthesiology developed by HTX. It turns research findings into a usable clinical tool.

The workflow
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Step 1 — Clinical record analysis

KOI receives patient data: medical history, physical examination, diagnostic tests. The AI model analyses the complete clinical picture using a chain-of-thought approach — the same type of structured reasoning that an expert anesthesiologist applies mentally.

Step 2 — ASA-PS classification

The model produces:

  • An ASA-PS classification (I to V)
  • Detailed clinical reasoning explaining why it chose that class
  • A confidence score indicating how certain the model is about the classification
  • The key diagnoses that influenced the decision

Every classification is explainable and verifiable. It is not a black box.

Step 3 — Physician decision

The anesthesiologist:

  • Reads the proposed classification and the reasoning
  • Compares it with their own clinical judgement
  • Decides whether to accept, modify or investigate further

KOI is a human-in-the-loop system: it supports the physician’s decision, it does not replace it.

Architecture: data never leaves the hospital
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KOI runs on PRISMA, the private AI infrastructure by HTX:

  • On-premise: the model runs inside the hospital
  • End-to-end encryption: data is protected in transit and at rest
  • No data sent externally: not even metadata
  • GDPR and AI Act compliant by design

In a sector where 38.4% of LLM studies fail to implement adequate data protections, KOI is designed for privacy from the ground up.


Regulatory status and roadmap
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Research Use Only (RUO)
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KOI is currently classified as Research Use Only — usable for:

  • Clinical research
  • Scientific validation
  • Observational studies
  • Education and training

It is not usable for clinical diagnostic practice.

Path to medical device certification
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HTX is following a structured certification path:

Milestone Timeline
Validation study (20 cases, 11 LLMs) Completed
ISO 13485 certification (quality management system) In progress
IEC 62304 certification (medical device software) In progress
Clinical validation with Ospedale del Quadrante Dec 2025 – Nov 2026
Medical device marking Planned 2027

The funded project
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KOI stems from the “ASA-PS Classification” project, funded by the Friuli Venezia Giulia Region (LR 22/2022, art. 7 — support for TRL 6–8 validation projects, EUR 90,000 grant). In collaboration with the Ospedale del Quadrante (Ramsay Sante), the project clinically validates the AI system for ASA-PS classification during the period December 2025 – November 2026.


Why AI in anesthesiology is different
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AI in medicine is often associated with excessive promises. ASA-PS classification is a different case, for three reasons:

1. The problem is well-defined
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ASA-PS classification has clear criteria, published case studies and established benchmarks. We are not asking AI to “diagnose cancer” — we are asking it to classify a patient on a standardised scale, using structured information.

2. Human error is documented and frequent
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The 30% inter-observer variability is not disputed: it is published and replicated data. AI does not need to be perfect — it needs to be more consistent than physicians. And at 97.5% accuracy, it is.

3. The human-in-the-loop model mitigates risk
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KOI does not decide: it proposes. The physician always has the final say. The system adds an objective second opinion — like having an expert colleague always available.


Who is KOI for
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KOI is relevant for:

  • Hospitals looking to reduce variability in preoperative assessment
  • Hospital groups seeking consistency across different facilities
  • Researchers in anesthesiology studying AI clinical decision support
  • Universities training anesthesia residents

If you are interested in a research collaboration or an RUO pilot, contact us.

Discover KOI →


This article was written by the HTX team — Human Technology eXcellence. KOI is currently Research Use Only (RUO). The information in this article is for informational purposes and does not constitute medical advice.

Frequently asked questions
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What is the ASA-PS classification?

The ASA-PS classification (American Society of Anesthesiologists - Physical Status) is the international standard for assessing preoperative anesthetic risk. It classifies patients from ASA I (healthy) to ASA VI (brain death), guiding decisions on anesthesia type and monitoring.

How accurate is AI in ASA-PS classification?

In the HTX study, advanced reasoning models (GPT-o3, Claude Sonnet, DeepSeek R1) achieved 97.5% accuracy on 20 standardised clinical cases. The average error drops from 2.3 to 0.25 misclassifications per 10 cases compared with physicians.

Does KOI replace the anesthesiologist?

No. KOI is a human-in-the-loop clinical decision support system. It proposes a classification with detailed clinical reasoning, but the final decision always rests with the physician. KOI supports, it does not replace.

Is KOI a medical device?

KOI is currently classified as Research Use Only (RUO) — usable for research and clinical validation, not for diagnostic practice. HTX is pursuing ISO 13485 and IEC 62304 certification, with medical device marking planned for 2027.

Can I use KOI in my hospital?

Yes, for research and clinical validation activities (RUO). KOI runs on PRISMA, which can be installed on-premise. Clinical data never leaves the hospital. The project is developed with the Ospedale del Quadrante (Ramsay Sante).

AI Privata per le Imprese - This article is part of a series.
Part : This Article