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The Illusion of Thinking

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Source
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Type: Content Original link: Publication date: 2025-09-06


Summary
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WHAT – The paper, titled The Illusion of Thinking: Understanding the Strengths and Limitations of Reasoning Models via the Lens of Problem Complexity, analyzes Large Reasoning Models (LRMs), which are versions of LLMs designed for “reasoning” through mechanisms such as chain of thought and self-reflection.

WHY – The goal is to understand the real benefits and limitations of LRMs, going beyond standard metrics based on mathematical or programming benchmarks, often contaminated by training data. Controlled puzzle environments (Hanoi, River Crossing, Blocks World, etc.) are introduced to systematically test problem complexity and analyze both final answers and reasoning traces.

WHO – Research conducted by Apple Research, with contributions from Parshin Shojaee, Iman Mirzadeh, Keivan Alizadeh, Maxwell Horton, Samy Bengio, Mehrdad Farajtabar.

WHERE – The work fits into the academic and industrial context of AI, contributing to the debate on the real reasoning capabilities of language models.

WHEN – Published in 2025.

BUSINESS IMPACT:

  • Opportunities: The paper provides critical insights for the development and evaluation of advanced AI models, highlighting where LRMs offer advantages (medium-complexity tasks).
  • Risks: LRMs collapse on complex problems and do not develop generalizable problem-solving capabilities, limiting reliability in mission-critical contexts.
  • Integration: Need for new metrics and controllable benchmarks to truly measure reasoning capability.

TECHNICAL SUMMARY:

  • Methodology: Testing in puzzle environments with controlled simulations.

  • Key results:

    1. Three complexity regimes:

      • Low: Standard LLMs are more efficient and accurate.
      • Medium: LRMs advantageous due to explicit reasoning.
      • High: Total collapse for both.
    2. Paradox: As difficulty increases, models reduce reasoning effort despite available token budget.

    3. Overthinking on simple tasks, inefficiencies in self-correction processes.

    4. Failure to execute explicit algorithms, with inconsistencies between puzzles.

  • Declared limits: Puzzles do not cover all real-world task variety, and analysis is based on black-box APIs.


Use Cases
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  • Advanced Benchmarking: Defining new evaluation standards for LLMs and LRMs.
  • Strategic Intelligence: Understanding limitations to avoid overestimating reasoning capabilities.
  • AI R&D: Guidance for future architectures and training approaches.
  • Risk Management: Identifying complexity thresholds beyond which models collapse.

Resources
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Original Links #


Article recommended and selected by the Human Technology eXcellence team, processed through artificial intelligence (in this case with LLM HTX-EU-Mistral3.1Small) on 2025-09-06 10:47 Original source: the-illusion-of-thinking.pdf


Related Articles #

Articoli Interessanti - This article is part of a series.
Part : Everything as Code: How We Manage Our Company In One Monorepo At Kasava, we've embraced the concept of "everything as code" to streamline our operations and ensure consistency across our projects. This approach allows us to manage our entire company within a single monorepo, providing a unified source of truth for all our configurations, infrastructure, and applications. **Why a Monorepo?** A monorepo offers several advantages: 1. **Unified Configuration**: All our settings, from development environments to production, are stored in one place. This makes it easier to maintain consistency and reduces the risk of configuration drift. 2. **Simplified Dependency Management**: With all our code in one repository, managing dependencies becomes more straightforward. We can easily track which versions of libraries and tools are being used across different projects. 3. **Enhanced Collaboration**: A single repository fosters better collaboration among team members. Everyone has access to the same codebase, making it easier to share knowledge and work together on projects. 4. **Consistent Build and Deployment Processes**: By standardizing our build and deployment processes, we ensure that all our applications follow the same best practices. This leads to more reliable and predictable deployments. **Our Monorepo Structure** Our monorepo is organized into several key directories: - **/config**: Contains all configuration files for various environments, including development, staging, and production. - **/infrastructure**: Houses the infrastructure as code (IaC) scripts for provisioning and managing our cloud resources. - **/apps**: Includes all our applications, both internal tools and customer-facing products. - **/lib**: Stores reusable libraries and modules that can be shared across different projects. - **/scripts**: Contains utility scripts for automating various tasks, such as data migrations and backups. **Tools and Technologies** To manage our monorepo effectively, we use a combination of tools and technologies: - **Version Control**: Git is our primary version control system, and we use GitHub for hosting our repositories. - **Continuous Integration/Continuous Deployment (CI/CD)**: We employ Jenkins for automating our build, test, and deployment processes. - **Infrastructure as Code (IaC)**: Terraform is our tool of choice for managing cloud infrastructure. - **Configuration Management**: Ansible is used for configuring and managing our servers and applications. - **Monitoring and Logging**: We use Prometheus and Grafana for monitoring,
Part : This Article